Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 744.688891 840.399420 947.249455 1076.038782 1227.937856 1402.471646 1619.741301
2025-03-23 607.276352 734.451856 889.789197 1096.231964 1367.604112 1718.253944 2215.922002
2025-03-30 515.128780 648.652405 820.667243 1063.367068 1405.127571 1882.316653 2623.872055
2025-04-06 450.554903 585.302278 766.271500 1034.108679 1433.143710 2027.927114 3028.405762
2025-04-13 399.476829 532.044093 716.166101 999.586382 1442.284844 2140.256544 3399.640799
2025-04-20 376.531795 514.274596 712.244413 1029.636659 1550.783160 2423.829370 4127.150366
2025-04-27 352.002459 491.056665 696.788688 1038.377976 1624.345119 2660.845979 4834.525032
2025-05-04 333.509797 474.566243 689.039628 1057.260436 1716.361382 2946.914303 5725.366012
2025-05-11 316.347612 458.236745 679.377847 1070.881401 1800.004997 3233.070077 6711.658962
2025-05-18 306.216669 451.744049 684.421858 1109.790035 1936.080995 3653.256715 8173.148846
2025-05-25 292.139572 437.592944 675.185683 1121.538004 2020.660608 3983.118687 9542.446746
2025-06-01 276.059823 418.819409 656.255173 1112.775855 2061.631150 4223.730308 10768.492370
2025-06-08 259.272415 398.341843 633.816850 1097.207651 2091.417877 4459.719805 12150.608938
2025-06-15 248.789460 387.839774 628.221832 1114.325402 2197.362127 4919.742998 14571.755139
2025-06-22 232.297603 365.686180 599.532290 1081.264800 2182.833643 5058.210667 15920.583321
2025-06-29 217.804553 346.025313 573.791998 1051.313139 2170.758444 5201.745183 17398.543944
2025-07-06 203.937022 326.574556 546.931687 1016.071654 2140.294188 5285.573837 18696.569378
2025-07-13 199.372796 323.443809 550.616273 1046.754672 2280.319242 5929.991727 23162.265509
2025-07-20 192.558130 315.728336 544.769933 1055.681601 2365.949427 6432.963163 27461.318517
2025-07-27 187.362598 310.629421 543.590733 1074.966013 2483.549364 7089.991380 33482.887678
2025-08-03 181.934554 304.722525 540.279976 1088.878183 2589.294493 7749.197115 40521.139493
2025-08-10 179.355556 304.024861 547.456137 1128.624228 2779.243226 8819.054887 52637.820587
2025-08-17 174.279100 298.182127 543.475349 1140.626648 2888.440077 9615.514036 64297.380435